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The Future Fund: Investing for Long-Term Growth

The Future Fund: Investing for Long-Term Growth

01/01/2026
Maryella Faratro
The Future Fund: Investing for Long-Term Growth

In a world of economic volatility, the Future Fund shines as a beacon of financial foresight for Australia, meticulously crafted to ensure stability and prosperity for decades ahead.

Established on 3 April 2006 under the Future Fund Act 2006, it was designed to strengthen the Commonwealth's long-term financial position by tackling the challenge of unfunded superannuation liabilities for public servants.

This sovereign wealth fund, seeded with transfers including proceeds from the partial privatization of Telstra, has evolved into a powerful engine for national wealth, managed independently by the Future Fund Board.

Its mission extends beyond mere numbers; it embodies a commitment to future generations, allowing withdrawals for superannuation liabilities from 1 July 2020, though the government has wisely deferred drawdowns until at least 2032–33.

This deferral enables continued accumulation, showcasing a strategic patience that aligns with long-term vision.

As we delve into its journey, we uncover lessons in resilience, growth, and forward-thinking that can inspire both individuals and nations.

The Genesis of the Future Fund

The Future Fund emerged from a pressing need to address an ageing population and the associated financial burdens.

It was conceived to offset unfunded Commonwealth superannuation liabilities, ensuring that public servants' retirements are secure without straining public finances.

Key milestones in its early years highlight its rapid growth and foundational strength.

  • Initial establishment in 2006 with legislative backing from the Future Fund Act.
  • Seed funding from the Department of Finance, including Telstra privatization proceeds.
  • Management independence granted to the Future Fund Board to foster objective investment decisions.

From its inception, the fund has operated with a clear purpose: to build a robust financial buffer for the nation.

This historical context underscores the importance of proactive planning in securing economic futures.

A Mandate for Growth and Stability

The primary objective of the Future Fund is to reach the Target Asset Level, a benchmark set by the Designated Actuary to estimate projected liabilities.

Since 1 July 2020, withdrawals have proceeded independently of this target, allowing greater flexibility in fund management.

The investment mandate, as outlined in the Future Fund Investment Mandate Direction 2024, sets a rigorous performance benchmark.

It aims for a target return of CPI + 4.0% to 5.0% per annum over the long term, balancing acceptable risk with substantial rewards.

This mandate ensures that the fund remains resilient against economic fluctuations while pursuing growth.

  • Focus on long-term horizons to weather market cycles.
  • Emphasis on inflation protection to preserve purchasing power.
  • Strategic risk management to avoid excessive exposure.

By adhering to these principles, the Future Fund demonstrates how structured goals can drive sustained success.

Stellar Performance: Numbers That Inspire

The financial performance of the Future Fund is a testament to its effective strategy and management.

As of 30 September 2025, the balance stood at $261,126 million, comprising total credits and net earnings with no debits.

This growth is fueled by consistent outperformance against benchmarks, highlighting the fund's ability to generate value.

In calendar year 2024, the fund achieved a 12.2% return, adding $26 billion and exceeding its 6.4% target.

Cumulatively, investment returns have added $177 billion to the Future Fund alone, with another $66.7 billion to related funds.

These figures underscore the power of disciplined, long-term investing in building substantial wealth.

  • Record balance at end-2024: $237.9 billion for the Future Fund.
  • 10-year performance consistently above target, such as 8.1% versus 6.8%.
  • Historical growth from $18,163 million in 2005-06 to over $260 billion by 2025.

Such performance inspires confidence in the fund's approach and offers practical insights for investors.

Strategic Allocation: Navigating Global Shifts

The Future Fund's investment strategy is tailored for long-term growth, with a keen eye on global trends like deglobalisation, populism, and AI opportunities.

It has adapted its portfolio to enhance resilience, making key shifts such as increasing gold holdings and reducing U.S. equities in favor of European and Japanese markets.

Maintaining exposure to tech and AI, exemplified by investments in companies like Databricks, has yielded significant gains.

Recent asset allocation reflects a diversified approach to mitigate risks and capitalize on opportunities.

  • Australian Equities: 10-10.4%, with overweight positions in fossil fuels like Woodside and Santos.
  • Developed Markets Equities: 24-25.8%, providing broad international exposure.
  • Private Equity: 13-13.9%, focusing on high-growth sectors.
  • Alternatives: 14.7%, including hedge funds and other non-traditional assets.
  • Infrastructure & Timberland: 10-11.4%, offering inflation protection and steady returns.

New investments, such as in the Eastlink toll road and student accommodation, demonstrate a forward-looking stance.

The fund's ability to pivot based on macroeconomic shifts, like viewing AI corrections as buying opportunities, showcases its dynamic strategy.

This approach underscores the importance of flexibility and innovation in investment portfolios.

Governance: Steering with Vision

Governance is a cornerstone of the Future Fund's success, with the Future Fund Board holding investment powers and ensuring independent decision-making.

CEO Raphael Arndt emphasizes critical thinking and a long-term horizon, guiding the fund through complex market environments.

CIO Ben Samild credits recent returns to factors like U.S. economic strength and strategic international equities overweight.

The new mandate issued in November 2024 prioritizes national needs, including energy transition, housing, and infrastructure.

  • Board composition focused on expertise and accountability.
  • Leadership that fosters a culture of resilience and innovation.
  • Alignment with national priorities to enhance societal impact.

This robust governance framework ensures that the fund remains aligned with its mission while adapting to evolving challenges.

Beyond the Fund: A Broader Legacy

The Future Fund Board manages six other public funds, totaling $66.7 billion as of end-2024, expanding its influence on Australia's financial landscape.

These related funds address specific national issues, such as housing and regional development, amplifying the Future Fund's legacy.

  • Housing Australia Future Fund (HAFF): Funding social and affordable homes, with a major round planned for early 2026.
  • Future Generations Fund (FGF) and Regional Australia Future Fund (RAFF): Proposed in 2025 to allocate revenue windfalls for debt reduction and regional growth.

Globally, the Future Fund has earned a perfect score on the GSR Scoreboard for strategy and performance, highlighting its excellence.

This broader context shows how sovereign wealth funds can drive multifaceted economic benefits beyond mere investment returns.

Challenges and the Road Ahead

Despite its strengths, the Future Fund faces criticisms, such as being overweight in fossil fuels, with stakes in companies like Woodside and Santos exceeding market weights.

This raises questions about environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations in long-term investing.

However, the fund's forward outlook remains focused on resilience, with scenario-based planning and a commitment to national priority investments.

The deferral of drawdowns until at least 2032–33 positions it as an enduring institution, capable of weathering future uncertainties.

  • Strengths: Consistent outperformance and strategic adaptability.
  • Risks: Exposure to geopolitical tensions and climate-related shifts.
  • Future focus: Enhancing portfolio resilience and supporting national infrastructure.

By addressing these challenges head-on, the Future Fund sets an example for balancing growth with responsibility.

Its journey offers invaluable insights for anyone seeking to build a secure financial future through patience, strategy, and vision.

Maryella Faratro

About the Author: Maryella Faratro

Maryella Faratro contributes to FocusLift with content focused on mindset development, clarity in planning, and disciplined execution for long-term results.